Kilmarnock vs Dunfermline Athletic FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
60.5%
Win probability
1.88
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.6%
4-0
3.2%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.5%
3-0
6.9%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.3%
2-0
11%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.7%
1-0
11.8%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.8%
22.1%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.1%
17.4%
Win probability
0.89
Expected goals
0-1
5.6%
1-2
4.7%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.8%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.2%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-14%
-14%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Kilmarnock
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Sep. 1998 |
ABE
0 - 1
KIL
52%
26%
22%
|
69 | 70 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 1998 |
KIL
2 - 1
DUN
64%
22%
15%
|
69 | 64 | 5 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 1998 |
MHE
0 - 0
KIL
46%
27%
27%
|
69 | 64 | 5 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 1998 |
CEL
1 - 1
KIL
73%
18%
9%
|
69 | 81 | 12 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 1998 |
KIL
0 - 1
AIR
65%
21%
14%
|
70 | 62 | 8 | -1 |
Matches
Dunfermline Athletic FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Sep. 1998 |
DUN
0 - 2
GLA
24%
23%
52%
|
65 | 81 | 16 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 1998 |
DUN
1 - 1
DUN
57%
24%
19%
|
65 | 70 | 5 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 1998 |
DUN
1 - 1
HOM
33%
26%
41%
|
65 | 79 | 14 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 1998 |
STJ
1 - 1
DUN
62%
22%
16%
|
65 | 72 | 7 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 1998 |
DUN
1 - 1
ABE
46%
24%
30%
|
65 | 71 | 6 | 0 |