Kilmarnock vs Dumbarton analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
73.8%
Win probability
2.43
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.5%
5-0
2.9%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.9%
4-0
5.9%
5-1
2.2%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.5%
3-0
9.7%
4-1
4.6%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
15.2%
2-0
11.9%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.5%
1-0
9.8%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.5%
16.1%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
7.6%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
16.1%
10%
Win probability
0.78
Expected goals
0-1
3.1%
1-2
3%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
7.2%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Kilmarnock
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Jan. 2023 |
KIL
2 - 3
GLA
19%
23%
58%
|
67 | 81 | 14 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 2023 |
CEL
2 - 0
KIL
79%
14%
7%
|
67 | 82 | 15 | 0 |
| 07 Jan. 2023 |
CEL
2 - 0
KIL
78%
15%
7%
|
68 | 82 | 14 | -1 |
| 02 Jan. 2023 |
KIL
0 - 0
STM
39%
26%
35%
|
68 | 70 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 Dec. 2022 |
KIL
2 - 1
ABE
33%
27%
40%
|
67 | 74 | 7 | +1 |
Matches
Dumbarton
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Jan. 2023 |
FOR
2 - 1
DUM
28%
24%
48%
|
53 | 47 | 6 | 0 |
| 31 Dec. 2022 |
ALB
0 - 1
DUM
19%
22%
59%
|
53 | 43 | 10 | 0 |
| 24 Dec. 2022 |
DUM
2 - 0
EAS
65%
21%
14%
|
53 | 44 | 9 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 2022 |
BRA
1 - 1
DUM
37%
24%
39%
|
53 | 49 | 4 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 2022 |
CLY
1 - 3
DUM
24%
22%
54%
|
52 | 44 | 8 | +1 |