Kilmarnock vs Dumbarton analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
71.6%
Win probability
2.39
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.4%
5-0
2.6%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.6%
4-0
5.3%
5-1
2.2%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.9%
3-0
8.9%
4-1
4.5%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.5%
2-0
11.2%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21%
1-0
9.4%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.7%
16.9%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
7.9%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
16.9%
11.5%
Win probability
0.85
Expected goals
0-1
3.3%
1-2
3.4%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
8%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.6%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Kilmarnock
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Jul. 2017 |
BLA
0 - 2
KIL
21%
22%
58%
|
64 | 48 | 16 | 0 |
| 18 Jul. 2017 |
KIL
4 - 2
CLY
80%
15%
6%
|
64 | 45 | 19 | 0 |
| 14 Jul. 2017 |
AYR
1 - 0
KIL
17%
21%
62%
|
64 | 49 | 15 | 0 |
| 08 Jul. 2017 |
KIL
2 - 0
LIV
47%
24%
29%
|
64 | 62 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 May. 2017 |
KIL
1 - 2
ROS
37%
27%
36%
|
65 | 71 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
Dumbarton
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Jul. 2017 |
DUM
0 - 0
BLA
50%
23%
27%
|
50 | 48 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 Jul. 2017 |
CLY
2 - 1
DUM
35%
24%
41%
|
50 | 45 | 5 | 0 |
| 18 Jul. 2017 |
DUM
1 - 3
AYR
50%
23%
27%
|
51 | 50 | 1 | -1 |
| 15 Jul. 2017 |
DUM
2 - 1
CLY
14%
17%
69%
|
51 | 66 | 15 | 0 |
| 11 Jul. 2017 |
DUM
2 - 1
PAR
20%
23%
57%
|
51 | 69 | 18 | 0 |