Kilmarnock vs Berwick Rangers analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
68.4%
Win probability
2.29
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2.1%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3%
4-0
4.7%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
7%
3-0
8.2%
4-1
4.3%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.4%
2-0
10.7%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.3%
1-0
9.3%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.1%
18.2%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
8.5%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
18.2%
13.4%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
0-1
3.7%
1-2
3.9%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
9.2%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.2%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Kilmarnock
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Aug. 2015 |
KIL
0 - 4
ROS
38%
26%
36%
|
62 | 68 | 6 | 0 |
| 15 Aug. 2015 |
PAR
2 - 2
KIL
60%
22%
18%
|
62 | 69 | 7 | 0 |
| 12 Aug. 2015 |
KIL
2 - 2
CEL
16%
22%
62%
|
61 | 82 | 21 | +1 |
| 09 Aug. 2015 |
ABE
2 - 0
KIL
67%
22%
11%
|
62 | 80 | 18 | -1 |
| 01 Aug. 2015 |
KIL
0 - 4
DUN
44%
26%
30%
|
63 | 67 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Berwick Rangers
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Aug. 2015 |
STI
1 - 3
BER
32%
24%
44%
|
49 | 41 | 8 | 0 |
| 15 Aug. 2015 |
EAS
5 - 0
BER
45%
25%
30%
|
50 | 49 | 1 | -1 |
| 08 Aug. 2015 |
BER
2 - 1
MON
73%
16%
10%
|
49 | 38 | 11 | +1 |
| 01 Aug. 2015 |
BER
3 - 2
ALL
37%
26%
37%
|
47 | 54 | 7 | +2 |
| 25 Jul. 2015 |
STM
3 - 1
BER
62%
22%
16%
|
48 | 62 | 14 | -1 |