Kilmarnock vs Ayr United analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
69.1%
Win probability
2.04
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.4%
4-0
4.7%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.2%
3-0
9.3%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
13%
2-0
13.7%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.2%
1-0
13.5%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.2%
19.5%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
19.5%
11.4%
Win probability
0.68
Expected goals
0-1
4.5%
1-2
3.1%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
8.4%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.4%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-14%
+35%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Kilmarnock
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Feb. 2022 |
ARB
1 - 0
KIL
39%
29%
32%
|
68 | 64 | 4 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2022 |
KIL
1 - 0
ICT
50%
25%
25%
|
68 | 64 | 4 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 2022 |
KIL
1 - 2
DUN
52%
24%
24%
|
68 | 68 | 0 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 2022 |
PAR
1 - 1
KIL
37%
29%
34%
|
68 | 62 | 6 | 0 |
| 08 Jan. 2022 |
QOS
0 - 2
KIL
25%
28%
47%
|
68 | 54 | 14 | 0 |
Matches
Ayr United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Feb. 2022 |
AYR
1 - 1
DUN
39%
27%
34%
|
53 | 55 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 2022 |
PAR
1 - 0
AYR
58%
23%
18%
|
54 | 63 | 9 | -1 |
| 29 Jan. 2022 |
HAM
1 - 1
AYR
49%
25%
27%
|
54 | 56 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 2022 |
AYR
0 - 2
STM
15%
21%
64%
|
55 | 70 | 15 | -1 |
| 15 Jan. 2022 |
AYR
0 - 2
GRE
45%
28%
27%
|
55 | 56 | 1 | 0 |