Kilmarnock vs Ayr United analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
77.9%
Win probability
2.51
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.5%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.8%
5-0
3.5%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.6%
4-0
7%
5-1
2.3%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.6%
3-0
11.2%
4-1
4.5%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
16.6%
2-0
13.4%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
22.3%
1-0
10.7%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.1%
14.6%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
6.9%
2-2
2.8%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
0.1%
0
14.6%
7.5%
Win probability
0.65
Expected goals
0-1
2.8%
1-2
2.2%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
5.7%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.5%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Kilmarnock
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Aug. 2014 |
KIL
2 - 0
MHE
36%
26%
38%
|
64 | 73 | 9 | 0 |
| 16 Aug. 2014 |
ROS
1 - 2
KIL
49%
25%
26%
|
64 | 65 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 2014 |
KIL
0 - 2
ABE
31%
27%
42%
|
64 | 77 | 13 | 0 |
| 09 Aug. 2014 |
DUN
1 - 1
KIL
46%
27%
28%
|
64 | 66 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 May. 2014 |
HIB
0 - 1
KIL
46%
25%
29%
|
63 | 61 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Ayr United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Aug. 2014 |
AYR
2 - 0
FOR
49%
23%
28%
|
47 | 49 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 Aug. 2014 |
STI
1 - 3
AYR
67%
19%
14%
|
46 | 53 | 7 | +1 |
| 09 Aug. 2014 |
AYR
1 - 0
GRE
37%
23%
40%
|
44 | 51 | 7 | +2 |
| 02 Aug. 2014 |
THE
0 - 4
AYR
44%
23%
32%
|
42 | 37 | 5 | +2 |
| 26 Jul. 2014 |
CLY
2 - 0
AYR
53%
23%
25%
|
43 | 46 | 3 | -1 |