Kilmarnock vs Annan Athletic analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
75.8%
Win probability
2.39
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.5%
5-0
3.1%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4%
4-0
6.4%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.7%
3-0
10.7%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
15.7%
2-0
13.5%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.2%
1-0
11.3%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.9%
15.8%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
7.5%
2-2
3%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
0.1%
0
15.8%
8.5%
Win probability
0.66
Expected goals
0-1
3.1%
1-2
2.5%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6.4%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.7%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Kilmarnock
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Jul. 2023 |
LIN
1 - 0
KIL
54%
24%
22%
|
69 | 72 | 3 | 0 |
| 04 Jul. 2023 |
GLE
1 - 0
KIL
57%
23%
20%
|
69 | 72 | 3 | 0 |
| 28 May. 2023 |
KIL
3 - 1
ROS
52%
26%
23%
|
68 | 66 | 2 | +1 |
| 24 May. 2023 |
DUN
0 - 3
KIL
47%
27%
26%
|
67 | 66 | 1 | +1 |
| 20 May. 2023 |
KIL
0 - 1
STJ
50%
26%
25%
|
67 | 66 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Annan Athletic
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Jul. 2023 |
BLA
1 - 2
CUM
28%
23%
48%
|
53 | 64 | 11 | 0 |
| 04 Jul. 2023 |
BLA
0 - 1
GRE
38%
25%
38%
|
53 | 60 | 7 | 0 |
| 19 May. 2023 |
CLY
1 - 2
BLA
25%
23%
52%
|
53 | 44 | 9 | 0 |
| 16 May. 2023 |
BLA
3 - 1
CLY
74%
16%
10%
|
52 | 44 | 8 | +1 |
| 13 May. 2023 |
DUM
0 - 0
BLA
30%
25%
45%
|
52 | 49 | 3 | 0 |