Kilmarnock vs Aberdeen analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
46.6%
Win probability
1.5
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.2%
3-0
4.2%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.2%
2-0
8.4%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14%
1-0
11.2%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.3%
25.8%
Draw
0-0
7.5%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.8%
27.6%
Win probability
1.09
Expected goals
0-1
8.2%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
17%
0-2
4.5%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.5%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-11%
+20%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Kilmarnock
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 May. 2004 |
DUN
2 - 0
KIL
47%
26%
28%
|
71 | 72 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2004 |
KIL
4 - 2
LIV
38%
26%
36%
|
70 | 74 | 4 | +1 |
| 24 Apr. 2004 |
KIL
2 - 0
HIB
40%
27%
34%
|
69 | 74 | 5 | +1 |
| 18 Apr. 2004 |
KIL
0 - 1
CEL
27%
25%
49%
|
70 | 81 | 11 | -1 |
| 10 Apr. 2004 |
HIB
3 - 0
KIL
56%
22%
21%
|
70 | 73 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Aberdeen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 May. 2004 |
ABE
0 - 1
HIB
45%
26%
29%
|
71 | 73 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2004 |
PAR
2 - 0
ABE
32%
27%
41%
|
72 | 62 | 10 | -1 |
| 24 Apr. 2004 |
LIV
2 - 0
ABE
43%
27%
30%
|
73 | 74 | 1 | -1 |
| 21 Apr. 2004 |
CEL
1 - 2
ABE
72%
17%
11%
|
73 | 81 | 8 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 2004 |
ABE
0 - 2
MHE
51%
25%
24%
|
73 | 71 | 2 | 0 |