Kilmarnock vs Aberdeen analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
41.6%
Win probability
1.37
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.6%
3-0
3.4%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5%
2-0
7.4%
3-1
4%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.3%
1-0
10.9%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.2%
26.6%
Draw
0-0
7.9%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.6%
31.8%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
0-1
9.2%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
18.8%
0-2
5.4%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.9%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
3.1%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-11%
+22%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Kilmarnock
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Mar. 2004 |
DUN
4 - 1
KIL
43%
26%
31%
|
71 | 68 | 3 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 2004 |
KIL
1 - 1
HOM
33%
27%
39%
|
70 | 80 | 10 | +1 |
| 28 Feb. 2004 |
KIL
4 - 2
DUN
39%
27%
35%
|
69 | 74 | 5 | +1 |
| 21 Feb. 2004 |
MHE
1 - 0
KIL
54%
23%
23%
|
70 | 69 | 1 | -1 |
| 14 Feb. 2004 |
KIL
2 - 1
PAR
55%
25%
21%
|
69 | 65 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Aberdeen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Mar. 2004 |
ABE
1 - 2
LIV
42%
26%
33%
|
74 | 74 | 0 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2004 |
LIV
1 - 0
ABE
46%
26%
27%
|
74 | 74 | 0 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 2004 |
DUN
1 - 1
ABE
42%
27%
31%
|
74 | 73 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2004 |
ABE
0 - 0
PAR
68%
20%
12%
|
74 | 62 | 12 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 2004 |
ABE
1 - 1
LIV
51%
24%
25%
|
74 | 73 | 1 | 0 |