Kilmarnock vs Aberdeen analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
54.2%
Win probability
1.68
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.2%
3-0
5.6%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.3%
2-0
10%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.7%
1-0
11.9%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.6%
24.2%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.2%
21.6%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
0-1
6.8%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.1%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.5%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
-20%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Kilmarnock
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Apr. 1999 |
HOM
2 - 2
KIL
53%
25%
22%
|
72 | 71 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 1999 |
KIL
0 - 0
CEL
26%
25%
49%
|
72 | 81 | 9 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 1999 |
STJ
0 - 1
KIL
61%
23%
17%
|
71 | 76 | 5 | +1 |
| 06 Mar. 1999 |
KIL
0 - 0
DUN
64%
21%
15%
|
71 | 63 | 8 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 1999 |
KIL
0 - 5
GLA
22%
23%
55%
|
72 | 81 | 9 | -1 |
Matches
Aberdeen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Apr. 1999 |
ABE
3 - 1
DUN
54%
25%
22%
|
67 | 65 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 1999 |
MHE
1 - 1
ABE
49%
25%
26%
|
67 | 66 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 1999 |
ABE
1 - 5
CEL
22%
25%
53%
|
68 | 81 | 13 | -1 |
| 27 Feb. 1999 |
HOM
0 - 2
ABE
62%
21%
17%
|
67 | 73 | 6 | +1 |
| 20 Feb. 1999 |
DUN
3 - 0
ABE
49%
26%
26%
|
67 | 69 | 2 | 0 |