Kilia Kiel vs Heider SV analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
31.1%
Win probability
1.72
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.5%
3-0
1.7%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
4.1%
2-0
3%
3-1
3.8%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
0.1%
+2
9.1%
1-0
3.5%
2-1
6.6%
3-2
4.1%
4-3
1.3%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
15.7%
20.6%
Draw
0-0
2%
1-1
7.6%
2-2
7.1%
3-3
3%
4-4
0.7%
5-5
0.1%
6-6
<0%
0
20.6%
48.3%
Win probability
2.17
Expected goals
0-1
4.4%
1-2
8.3%
2-3
5.1%
3-4
1.6%
4-5
0.3%
5-6
0%
-1
19.8%
0-2
4.8%
1-3
6%
2-4
2.8%
3-5
0.7%
4-6
0.1%
5-7
0%
-2
14.4%
0-3
3.5%
1-4
3.2%
2-5
1.2%
3-6
0.3%
4-7
0%
-3
8.2%
0-4
1.9%
1-5
1.4%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0.1%
-4
3.8%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
1.5%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
1-9
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+81%
+66%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
81
1º
3º
1º
55
1º
7º
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
6º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
81 | 81 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
73 | 73 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
73 | 73 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
66 | 66 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
60 | 61 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
|
6º
|
55 | 55 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
48 | 48 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
47 | 47 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
43 | 43 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
37 | 37 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
37 | 37 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
28 | 28 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
17º
|
21 | 27 |
13º
|
0% | |
|
13º
|
27 | 27 |
14º
|
0% | |
|
14º
|
24 | 24 |
15º
|
0% | |
|
15º
|
24 | 24 |
16º
|
0% | |
|
16º
|
23 | 23 |
17º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
100% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Kilia Kiel
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Oct. 2022 |
HUS
0 - 7
KIL
15%
17%
69%
|
23 | 13 | 10 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2022 |
KIL
9 - 1
GWS
71%
16%
13%
|
23 | 17 | 6 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2022 |
DOR
0 - 3
KIL
19%
18%
63%
|
23 | 14 | 9 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2022 |
KIL
4 - 0
WEF
63%
18%
19%
|
22 | 18 | 4 | +1 |
| 24 Sep. 2022 |
FLE
1 - 2
KIL
73%
15%
13%
|
21 | 28 | 7 | +1 |
Matches
Heider SV
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Oct. 2022 |
HEI
3 - 1
ITK
67%
18%
15%
|
28 | 20 | 8 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2022 |
LUB
1 - 3
HEI
16%
17%
67%
|
27 | 17 | 10 | +1 |
| 02 Oct. 2022 |
EIC
1 - 1
HEI
64%
18%
18%
|
27 | 34 | 7 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2022 |
HEI
9 - 0
FRI
80%
13%
7%
|
26 | 13 | 13 | +1 |
| 17 Sep. 2022 |
PAN
2 - 3
HEI
26%
20%
54%
|
26 | 20 | 6 | 0 |