Kilia Kiel vs BW Lohne analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
21.6%
Win probability
1.13
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.1%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.9%
2-0
2.9%
3-1
2.1%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
5.8%
1-0
5.2%
2-1
5.7%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
13.4%
21.9%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.9%
56.5%
Win probability
1.95
Expected goals
0-1
9%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.6%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.2%
0-2
8.8%
1-3
6.4%
2-4
1.8%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
17.2%
0-3
5.7%
1-4
3.1%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
9.6%
0-4
2.8%
1-5
1.2%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
4.2%
0-5
1.1%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.5%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+53%
+35%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
17º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
20
11º
18º
17º
46
1º
11º
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
10º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
76 | 76 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
71 | 71 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
65 | 65 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
61 | 61 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
57 | 57 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
56 | 56 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
51 | 51 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
49 | 49 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
48 | 48 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
|
10º
|
46 | 46 |
10º
|
0% | |
|
11º
|
46 | 46 |
11º
|
0% | |
|
12º
|
43 | 43 |
12º
|
0% | |
|
13º
|
43 | 43 |
13º
|
0% | |
|
14º
|
39 | 39 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
38 | 38 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
22 | 22 |
16º
|
100% | |
|
|
17º
|
20 | 20 |
17º
|
100% | |
|
18º
|
12 | 12 |
18º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
100% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Kilia Kiel
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Sep. 2023 |
STP
2 - 2
KIL
70%
18%
12%
|
36 | 47 | 11 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2023 |
KIL
2 - 1
EIM
40%
24%
36%
|
34 | 39 | 5 | +2 |
| 19 Aug. 2023 |
JED
1 - 1
KIL
68%
19%
13%
|
34 | 44 | 10 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 2023 |
KIL
3 - 5
HAN
15%
20%
65%
|
35 | 49 | 14 | -1 |
| 06 Aug. 2023 |
VFB
4 - 0
KIL
83%
12%
5%
|
35 | 53 | 18 | 0 |
Matches
BW Lohne
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Sep. 2023 |
BWL
0 - 0
FCP
32%
25%
43%
|
46 | 51 | 5 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2023 |
SVE
0 - 1
BWL
42%
23%
34%
|
45 | 44 | 1 | +1 |
| 20 Aug. 2023 |
STP
0 - 1
BWL
51%
23%
26%
|
44 | 48 | 4 | +1 |
| 12 Aug. 2023 |
BWL
1 - 0
EIM
53%
23%
24%
|
43 | 41 | 2 | +1 |
| 28 Jul. 2023 |
BWL
2 - 1
HAN
24%
23%
53%
|
42 | 49 | 7 | +1 |