Kildare County vs Sporting Fingal analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
21.9%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.3%
3-0
1.1%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.5%
2-0
3.4%
3-1
1.7%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.5%
1-0
7.3%
2-1
5.5%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
14.4%
24.8%
Draw
0-0
7.7%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.8%
53.3%
Win probability
1.62
Expected goals
0-1
12.5%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24.8%
0-2
10.1%
1-3
5.1%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
16.4%
0-3
5.5%
1-4
2.1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
7.9%
0-4
2.2%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Kildare County
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Mar. 2009 |
LON
4 - 0
KIL
61%
22%
17%
|
39 | 48 | 9 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 2009 |
ATH
3 - 1
KIL
51%
24%
24%
|
41 | 45 | 4 | -2 |
| 07 Mar. 2009 |
KIL
1 - 1
FIN
23%
25%
52%
|
42 | 58 | 16 | -1 |
| 15 Nov. 2008 |
KIL
1 - 6
DUN
23%
27%
49%
|
43 | 61 | 18 | -1 |
| 07 Nov. 2008 |
LIM
1 - 2
KIL
65%
21%
15%
|
42 | 56 | 14 | +1 |
Matches
Sporting Fingal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Mar. 2009 |
SFI
2 - 0
WEX
66%
21%
13%
|
59 | 47 | 12 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 2009 |
SFI
0 - 1
UCD
67%
22%
12%
|
61 | 54 | 7 | -2 |
| 07 Mar. 2009 |
WAT
1 - 1
SFI
38%
27%
35%
|
62 | 57 | 5 | -1 |
| 15 Nov. 2008 |
WEX
2 - 2
SFI
23%
27%
50%
|
63 | 50 | 13 | -1 |
| 07 Nov. 2008 |
SFI
0 - 1
MON
70%
19%
11%
|
64 | 50 | 14 | -1 |