KIL / Hemne vs Nardo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
28.7%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
1.8%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.9%
2-0
4.1%
3-1
3%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
8.1%
1-0
6.4%
2-1
7%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
16.5%
23.7%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
11%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.7%
47.6%
Win probability
1.71
Expected goals
0-1
8.6%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
3.4%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.1%
0-2
7.4%
1-3
5.4%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
14.4%
0-3
4.2%
1-4
2.3%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
7.1%
0-4
1.8%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.7%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
KIL / Hemne
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Apr. 2016 |
BIL
0 - 4
KIL
29%
21%
50%
|
23 | 18 | 5 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 2015 |
KIL
10 - 0
GJO
62%
18%
20%
|
22 | 19 | 3 | +1 |
| 17 Oct. 2015 |
FFK
1 - 0
KIL
56%
21%
23%
|
22 | 27 | 5 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 2015 |
KIL
1 - 3
TYN
32%
24%
44%
|
24 | 33 | 9 | -2 |
| 02 Oct. 2015 |
KVI
0 - 2
KIL
56%
20%
24%
|
22 | 25 | 3 | +2 |
Matches
Nardo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Apr. 2016 |
MOL
1 - 2
NAR
52%
22%
27%
|
37 | 35 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2016 |
NAR
1 - 3
STB
38%
25%
37%
|
38 | 40 | 2 | -1 |
| 24 Oct. 2015 |
BYA
2 - 0
NAR
60%
21%
20%
|
39 | 43 | 4 | -1 |
| 17 Oct. 2015 |
NAR
2 - 0
ROD
72%
16%
12%
|
39 | 27 | 12 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 2015 |
TRA
3 - 3
NAR
27%
24%
49%
|
39 | 29 | 10 | 0 |