Kidderminster Harriers vs United of Manchester analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
80%
Win probability
2.65
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.7%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.8%
6-0
1.8%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
2.3%
5-0
4.1%
6-1
1.2%
7-2
0.1%
+5
5.3%
4-0
7.6%
5-1
2.6%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
10.7%
3-0
11.5%
4-1
4.9%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
17.4%
2-0
13%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
22.2%
1-0
9.8%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21%
13.3%
Draw
0-0
3.7%
1-1
6.3%
2-2
2.7%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
0.1%
0
13.3%
6.7%
Win probability
0.64
Expected goals
0-1
2.4%
1-2
2%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
5.1%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.3%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+28%
+22%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Kidderminster Harriers
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Oct. 2018 |
BRA
1 - 2
KID
39%
25%
36%
|
47 | 44 | 3 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2018 |
STO
3 - 2
KID
31%
25%
44%
|
48 | 41 | 7 | -1 |
| 29 Sep. 2018 |
KID
3 - 2
ALT
57%
22%
22%
|
48 | 45 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2018 |
KID
5 - 0
ATH
75%
16%
9%
|
48 | 25 | 23 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2018 |
CHE
3 - 1
KID
24%
24%
52%
|
50 | 38 | 12 | -2 |
Matches
United of Manchester
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Oct. 2018 |
UNM
1 - 2
DAR
35%
22%
43%
|
32 | 38 | 6 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2018 |
UNM
1 - 2
WIT
34%
23%
44%
|
34 | 39 | 5 | -2 |
| 29 Sep. 2018 |
NUN
1 - 0
UNM
49%
23%
28%
|
34 | 36 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2018 |
UNM
2 - 0
COL
49%
23%
28%
|
33 | 35 | 2 | +1 |
| 15 Sep. 2018 |
GUI
3 - 0
UNM
49%
22%
29%
|
35 | 35 | 0 | -2 |