Kidderminster Harriers vs Southport analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
71.5%
Win probability
2.36
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.3%
5-0
2.5%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.4%
4-0
5.3%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.8%
3-0
9%
4-1
4.4%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.4%
2-0
11.5%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.1%
1-0
9.8%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.9%
17.1%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
8.1%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.1%
11.4%
Win probability
0.83
Expected goals
0-1
3.4%
1-2
3.3%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
8%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.6%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+26%
+8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Kidderminster Harriers
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Mar. 2014 |
ALD
0 - 0
KID
39%
26%
35%
|
56 | 51 | 5 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 2014 |
KID
1 - 0
BAR
64%
20%
16%
|
56 | 52 | 4 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2014 |
KID
2 - 1
MAC
62%
21%
18%
|
56 | 51 | 5 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2014 |
WRE
0 - 0
KID
41%
26%
33%
|
56 | 52 | 4 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2014 |
CAM
5 - 1
KID
47%
26%
27%
|
57 | 58 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Southport
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Mar. 2014 |
CHE
2 - 2
SOU
48%
24%
28%
|
46 | 48 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 2014 |
SOU
4 - 1
MAC
35%
25%
41%
|
44 | 50 | 6 | +2 |
| 08 Mar. 2014 |
WOK
2 - 0
SOU
58%
22%
21%
|
45 | 49 | 4 | -1 |
| 01 Mar. 2014 |
SOU
3 - 0
DAR
40%
25%
35%
|
42 | 48 | 6 | +3 |
| 25 Feb. 2014 |
SOU
2 - 1
GRI
26%
27%
47%
|
41 | 58 | 17 | +1 |