Kidderminster Harriers vs Southport analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
66.3%
Win probability
1.99
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.1%
4-0
4.2%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.6%
3-0
8.4%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
12.1%
2-0
12.7%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.4%
1-0
12.8%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.1%
20.4%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.4%
13.3%
Win probability
0.76
Expected goals
0-1
4.9%
1-2
3.7%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
9.6%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+23%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Kidderminster Harriers
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Aug. 2011 |
KID
1 - 1
STO
68%
20%
12%
|
55 | 45 | 10 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2011 |
CAM
1 - 2
KID
35%
26%
38%
|
55 | 49 | 6 | 0 |
| 16 Aug. 2011 |
LIN
0 - 1
KID
29%
26%
45%
|
55 | 45 | 10 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 2011 |
KID
2 - 3
GAT
54%
23%
23%
|
55 | 49 | 6 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2011 |
KID
2 - 2
HIS
76%
16%
8%
|
56 | 35 | 21 | -1 |
Matches
Southport
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Aug. 2011 |
SOU
1 - 3
GAT
32%
23%
45%
|
46 | 52 | 6 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2011 |
LUT
5 - 1
SOU
75%
16%
9%
|
46 | 61 | 15 | 0 |
| 16 Aug. 2011 |
ALF
0 - 0
SOU
72%
18%
11%
|
46 | 58 | 12 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 2011 |
SOU
2 - 2
LIN
55%
22%
23%
|
46 | 45 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2011 |
KET
3 - 1
SOU
45%
25%
30%
|
47 | 47 | 0 | -1 |