Kidderminster Harriers vs Oldham Athletic AFC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
43%
Win probability
1.56
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2%
3-0
3.5%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.8%
2-0
6.8%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.9%
1-0
8.7%
2-1
9%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.4%
24.7%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.7%
32.4%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
0-1
7.4%
1-2
7.6%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
18.2%
0-2
4.9%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
9.3%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.5%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Kidderminster Harriers
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Oct. 2012 |
KID
1 - 1
GAT
50%
24%
26%
|
52 | 51 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2012 |
STO
1 - 0
KID
42%
25%
33%
|
53 | 48 | 5 | -1 |
| 09 Oct. 2012 |
KID
3 - 0
HYD
55%
23%
22%
|
52 | 50 | 2 | +1 |
| 06 Oct. 2012 |
EBB
1 - 1
KID
33%
24%
42%
|
52 | 44 | 8 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2012 |
KID
3 - 0
MAC
56%
23%
21%
|
51 | 48 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Oldham Athletic AFC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Oct. 2012 |
CRA
1 - 1
OLD
72%
18%
10%
|
56 | 66 | 10 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2012 |
CUM
3 - 1
OLD
59%
23%
18%
|
57 | 59 | 2 | -1 |
| 20 Oct. 2012 |
OLD
2 - 0
LEY
48%
26%
26%
|
56 | 56 | 0 | +1 |
| 13 Oct. 2012 |
SHE
1 - 1
OLD
78%
15%
7%
|
56 | 70 | 14 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2012 |
OLD
3 - 1
PNE
31%
27%
42%
|
55 | 61 | 6 | +1 |