FA Cup 1/256
Global 2-4
Kidderminster Harriers vs Fylde analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
37.3%
Win probability
1.42
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.5%
3-0
2.8%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.5%
2-0
5.8%
3-1
4%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
11%
1-0
8.2%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.9%
25%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
25%
37.6%
Win probability
1.43
Expected goals
0-1
8.3%
1-2
8.4%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
20%
0-2
5.9%
1-3
4%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
11.1%
0-3
2.8%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.6%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Kidderminster Harriers
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Oct. 2022 |
KID
0 - 2
FAR
80%
14%
6%
|
48 | 27 | 21 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2022 |
CHE
1 - 2
KID
25%
25%
50%
|
47 | 38 | 9 | +1 |
| 27 Sep. 2022 |
BUX
1 - 1
KID
35%
26%
39%
|
47 | 42 | 5 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2022 |
KET
0 - 3
KID
32%
26%
42%
|
47 | 41 | 6 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2022 |
KID
1 - 0
TAM
60%
22%
18%
|
46 | 38 | 8 | +1 |
Matches
Fylde
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Oct. 2022 |
BRA
1 - 1
FYL
35%
28%
37%
|
49 | 49 | 0 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 2022 |
FYL
5 - 1
CON
76%
15%
9%
|
48 | 30 | 18 | +1 |
| 01 Oct. 2022 |
CON
1 - 1
FYL
9%
15%
77%
|
49 | 26 | 23 | -1 |
| 27 Sep. 2022 |
FYL
2 - 2
SPE
66%
20%
14%
|
49 | 39 | 10 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2022 |
FYL
3 - 1
BRA
80%
14%
6%
|
49 | 28 | 21 | 0 |