Kidderminster Harriers vs Forest Green Rovers analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
60.7%
Win probability
1.82
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
3.2%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.3%
3-0
7.1%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.2%
2-0
11.6%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.8%
1-0
12.8%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.3%
22.5%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.5%
16.8%
Win probability
0.84
Expected goals
0-1
5.9%
1-2
4.5%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
11.6%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+26%
+6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Kidderminster Harriers
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Feb. 2010 |
OXF
0 - 0
KID
54%
25%
21%
|
56 | 61 | 5 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 2010 |
WOR
0 - 1
KID
24%
24%
52%
|
56 | 42 | 14 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2010 |
KID
4 - 1
GRA
70%
19%
11%
|
55 | 39 | 16 | +1 |
| 23 Jan. 2010 |
CRA
2 - 2
KID
42%
26%
33%
|
56 | 51 | 5 | -1 |
| 19 Jan. 2010 |
KID
3 - 2
LEW
60%
22%
19%
|
55 | 43 | 12 | +1 |
Matches
Forest Green Rovers
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Feb. 2010 |
AFC
2 - 0
FOR
65%
21%
15%
|
46 | 57 | 11 | 0 |
| 30 Jan. 2010 |
FOR
1 - 4
MAN
43%
25%
32%
|
47 | 51 | 4 | -1 |
| 26 Jan. 2010 |
HAY
2 - 3
FOR
56%
22%
22%
|
46 | 49 | 3 | +1 |
| 23 Jan. 2010 |
EBB
4 - 3
FOR
32%
26%
43%
|
47 | 41 | 6 | -1 |
| 19 Jan. 2010 |
NOT
2 - 1
FOR
61%
21%
18%
|
48 | 60 | 12 | -1 |