Kidderminster Harriers vs Ashton United analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
46.3%
Win probability
1.58
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.3%
3-0
4.1%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.4%
2-0
7.8%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
14%
1-0
9.9%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.6%
24.9%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
24.9%
28.7%
Win probability
1.19
Expected goals
0-1
7.5%
1-2
7%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
17.1%
0-2
4.4%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.8%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Kidderminster Harriers
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Oct. 2023 |
KID
1 - 0
WEA
40%
26%
35%
|
50 | 48 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 2023 |
DOR
0 - 1
KID
65%
20%
15%
|
49 | 52 | 3 | +1 |
| 30 Sep. 2023 |
KID
1 - 2
BAR
18%
23%
59%
|
49 | 59 | 10 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 2023 |
KID
1 - 2
OLD
31%
28%
42%
|
50 | 53 | 3 | -1 |
| 23 Sep. 2023 |
EAS
2 - 1
KID
44%
27%
28%
|
50 | 50 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Ashton United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Oct. 2023 |
ASH
1 - 1
BRI
73%
17%
10%
|
46 | 32 | 14 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 2023 |
ASH
4 - 3
MOR
48%
24%
27%
|
45 | 44 | 1 | +1 |
| 30 Sep. 2023 |
LAN
0 - 2
ASH
41%
26%
33%
|
44 | 47 | 3 | +1 |
| 26 Sep. 2023 |
ASH
2 - 1
BRA
48%
24%
27%
|
43 | 41 | 2 | +1 |
| 23 Sep. 2023 |
GUI
0 - 1
ASH
40%
25%
35%
|
42 | 41 | 1 | +1 |