Kidderminster Harriers vs Alfreton Town analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56.9%
Win probability
1.9
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.5%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.2%
3-0
5.9%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.6%
2-0
9.3%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.4%
1-0
9.8%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.7%
22.2%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.2%
20.9%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
0-1
5.5%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
13.3%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.5%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-10%
+9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Kidderminster Harriers
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Nov. 2020 |
FAR
2 - 2
KID
40%
26%
34%
|
40 | 37 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 2020 |
BRA
0 - 2
KID
68%
19%
13%
|
38 | 49 | 11 | +2 |
| 07 Nov. 2020 |
KID
1 - 1
LEA
62%
19%
19%
|
38 | 32 | 6 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 2020 |
KID
2 - 0
BLY
69%
17%
15%
|
37 | 27 | 10 | +1 |
| 24 Oct. 2020 |
CHO
0 - 2
KID
45%
24%
31%
|
36 | 37 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Alfreton Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Nov. 2020 |
ALF
0 - 2
DAR
28%
24%
48%
|
36 | 44 | 8 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 2020 |
LEA
4 - 3
ALF
32%
24%
44%
|
37 | 33 | 4 | -1 |
| 14 Nov. 2020 |
ALF
3 - 1
FAR
37%
24%
39%
|
36 | 39 | 3 | +1 |
| 10 Nov. 2020 |
ALF
0 - 2
BRA
25%
25%
50%
|
36 | 48 | 12 | 0 |
| 07 Nov. 2020 |
BRA
2 - 0
ALF
34%
23%
43%
|
38 | 31 | 7 | -2 |