Kidderminster Harriers vs Alfreton Town analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
45.8%
Win probability
1.7
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.6%
3-0
3.9%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.7%
2-0
6.8%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.8%
1-0
8%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.6%
23.7%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.7%
30.5%
Win probability
1.35
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
17.1%
0-2
4.3%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
8.7%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.3%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Kidderminster Harriers
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Aug. 2019 |
KET
3 - 5
KID
57%
22%
22%
|
39 | 41 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2019 |
KID
0 - 1
CHE
44%
24%
32%
|
40 | 43 | 3 | -1 |
| 17 Aug. 2019 |
CUR
0 - 1
KID
38%
25%
37%
|
39 | 35 | 4 | +1 |
| 13 Aug. 2019 |
KID
2 - 3
GLO
62%
21%
17%
|
40 | 36 | 4 | -1 |
| 10 Aug. 2019 |
BRA
0 - 3
KID
40%
23%
37%
|
39 | 34 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Alfreton Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Aug. 2019 |
ALF
2 - 0
SOU
45%
25%
30%
|
40 | 43 | 3 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2019 |
GUI
2 - 4
ALF
53%
23%
24%
|
38 | 41 | 3 | +2 |
| 17 Aug. 2019 |
ALF
4 - 0
BRA
63%
19%
18%
|
37 | 33 | 4 | +1 |
| 13 Aug. 2019 |
ALT
3 - 2
ALF
68%
18%
14%
|
38 | 45 | 7 | -1 |
| 10 Aug. 2019 |
ALF
3 - 0
BLY
21%
22%
58%
|
35 | 45 | 10 | +3 |