Kidderminster Harriers vs Alfreton Town analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
66.6%
Win probability
2.29
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
2%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.9%
4-0
4.3%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.7%
3-0
7.5%
4-1
4.3%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.9%
2-0
9.9%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.8%
1-0
8.6%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.9%
18.5%
Draw
0-0
3.8%
1-1
8.5%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
18.5%
14.9%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
0-1
3.7%
1-2
4.2%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
9.9%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.7%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+33%
-31%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Kidderminster Harriers
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Jan. 2019 |
AFC
0 - 1
KID
61%
21%
18%
|
41 | 46 | 5 | 0 |
| 12 Jan. 2019 |
KID
1 - 2
BOS
57%
22%
21%
|
42 | 40 | 2 | -1 |
| 08 Jan. 2019 |
SPE
2 - 1
KID
61%
21%
18%
|
43 | 46 | 3 | -1 |
| 05 Jan. 2019 |
DAR
3 - 0
KID
34%
25%
41%
|
45 | 38 | 7 | -2 |
| 01 Jan. 2019 |
KID
2 - 1
HER
50%
23%
27%
|
44 | 45 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Alfreton Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Jan. 2019 |
ALF
0 - 1
BRA
24%
25%
51%
|
35 | 48 | 13 | 0 |
| 12 Jan. 2019 |
ALF
0 - 0
DAR
35%
22%
44%
|
35 | 40 | 5 | 0 |
| 05 Jan. 2019 |
BLY
1 - 1
ALF
75%
15%
10%
|
35 | 46 | 11 | 0 |
| 01 Jan. 2019 |
ALF
1 - 1
BOS
35%
25%
40%
|
35 | 42 | 7 | 0 |
| 29 Dec. 2018 |
SOU
2 - 1
ALF
66%
19%
14%
|
35 | 45 | 10 | 0 |