Kidderminster Harriers vs Alfreton Town analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
63.3%
Win probability
2.16
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.3%
4-0
3.8%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.8%
3-0
7%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.8%
2-0
9.7%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.1%
1-0
9%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.2%
19.8%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
19.8%
16.9%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
0-1
4.2%
1-2
4.7%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
11%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.3%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+34%
-24%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Kidderminster Harriers
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Mar. 2017 |
UNM
1 - 0
KID
28%
25%
48%
|
51 | 41 | 10 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 2017 |
BRA
2 - 0
KID
36%
27%
37%
|
52 | 48 | 4 | -1 |
| 25 Feb. 2017 |
KID
2 - 0
STO
58%
24%
19%
|
51 | 48 | 3 | +1 |
| 18 Feb. 2017 |
CHO
2 - 1
KID
33%
27%
40%
|
52 | 47 | 5 | -1 |
| 11 Feb. 2017 |
KID
3 - 2
CUR
71%
18%
11%
|
52 | 41 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Alfreton Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Mar. 2017 |
ALF
1 - 0
HAL
21%
22%
57%
|
39 | 51 | 12 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2017 |
CHO
2 - 1
ALF
57%
22%
21%
|
39 | 48 | 9 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2017 |
CUR
5 - 0
ALF
41%
23%
36%
|
42 | 40 | 2 | -3 |
| 14 Feb. 2017 |
ALF
0 - 0
BRA
29%
25%
46%
|
41 | 50 | 9 | +1 |
| 11 Feb. 2017 |
ALF
1 - 1
STO
37%
26%
36%
|
41 | 49 | 8 | 0 |