DFB Pokal 1/16
Global 5-4
Kickers Offenbach vs VfR Heilbronn analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
83.6%
Win probability
3.51
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.3%
8-0
0.6%
9-1
0.2%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.9%
7-0
1.5%
8-1
0.6%
9-2
0.1%
10-3
<0%
+7
2.2%
6-0
2.9%
7-1
1.4%
8-2
0.3%
9-3
<0%
+6
4.7%
5-0
5%
6-1
2.8%
7-2
0.7%
8-3
0.1%
+5
8.6%
4-0
7.1%
5-1
4.9%
6-2
1.4%
7-3
0.2%
8-4
<0%
+4
13.6%
3-0
8.1%
4-1
6.9%
5-2
2.4%
6-3
0.5%
7-4
0.1%
+3
18%
2-0
7%
3-1
7.9%
4-2
3.4%
5-3
0.8%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
19.2%
1-0
4%
2-1
6.8%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
15.9%
9.9%
Draw
0-0
1.1%
1-1
3.9%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
9.9%
6.4%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
0-1
1.1%
1-2
1.9%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0.1%
-1
4.4%
0-2
0.5%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0.1%
-2
1.5%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Kickers Offenbach
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Nov. 1973 |
RTV
4 - 1
OFC
41%
24%
35%
|
80 | 74 | 6 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 1973 |
OFC
2 - 2
BYM
22%
23%
55%
|
80 | 90 | 10 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 1973 |
OFC
2 - 3
MON
29%
24%
47%
|
80 | 88 | 8 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 1973 |
F95
3 - 3
OFC
40%
24%
35%
|
80 | 78 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 1973 |
OFC
2 - 5
HSV
58%
21%
21%
|
81 | 79 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
VfR Heilbronn
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Nov. 1973 |
HEI
2 - 2
BAY
55%
24%
21%
|
57 | 61 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 1973 |
MUN
7 - 2
HEI
74%
16%
9%
|
58 | 69 | 11 | -1 |
| 10 Nov. 1973 |
HEI
3 - 3
SSV
65%
20%
15%
|
58 | 53 | 5 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 1973 |
HES
2 - 2
HEI
58%
22%
19%
|
58 | 58 | 0 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 1973 |
HEI
1 - 1
BUR
74%
16%
10%
|
59 | 51 | 8 | -1 |