Kickers Offenbach vs FC 08 Homburg analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
67.2%
Win probability
2.09
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.4%
4-0
4.4%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.1%
3-0
8.4%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.6%
2-0
12.1%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.5%
1-0
11.5%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
19.5%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
9.3%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.5%
13.3%
Win probability
0.81
Expected goals
0-1
4.4%
1-2
3.7%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
9.4%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+49%
-2%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
55
2º
11º
7º
58
1º
6º
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
4º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
72 | 72 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
71 | 71 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
69 | 69 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
|
4º
|
58 | 58 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
57 | 57 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
56 | 56 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
|
7º
|
55 | 55 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
52 | 52 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
48 | 48 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
46 | 46 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
32 | 41 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
40 | 40 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
34 | 34 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
33 | 33 |
14º
|
0% | |
|
14º
|
33 | 33 |
15º
|
0% | |
|
16º
|
29 | 29 |
16º
|
100% | |
|
17º
|
27 | 27 |
17º
|
100% | |
|
18º
|
22 | 22 |
18º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Kickers Offenbach
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Sep. 2022 |
BAL
1 - 1
OFC
14%
21%
65%
|
52 | 38 | 14 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2022 |
OFC
3 - 1
VFR
74%
17%
9%
|
51 | 40 | 11 | +1 |
| 03 Sep. 2022 |
FRE
2 - 2
OFC
22%
23%
55%
|
52 | 41 | 11 | -1 |
| 28 Aug. 2022 |
OFC
3 - 1
FSV
75%
17%
9%
|
51 | 38 | 13 | +1 |
| 21 Aug. 2022 |
KOB
1 - 0
OFC
11%
20%
70%
|
52 | 35 | 17 | -1 |
Matches
FC 08 Homburg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Sep. 2022 |
HOM
3 - 2
HES
65%
20%
15%
|
43 | 37 | 6 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 2022 |
HOM
1 - 3
SGB
72%
18%
11%
|
44 | 36 | 8 | -1 |
| 02 Sep. 2022 |
BAL
0 - 3
HOM
33%
26%
41%
|
43 | 38 | 5 | +1 |
| 28 Aug. 2022 |
HOM
2 - 0
VFR
58%
22%
20%
|
42 | 40 | 2 | +1 |
| 20 Aug. 2022 |
FRE
2 - 0
HOM
38%
25%
37%
|
44 | 39 | 5 | -2 |