Kickers Offenbach vs Fortuna Köln analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
73.4%
Win probability
2.41
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.5%
5-0
2.8%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.8%
4-0
5.8%
5-1
2.2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.3%
3-0
9.6%
4-1
4.5%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
15%
2-0
11.9%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.4%
1-0
9.9%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.7%
16.4%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
7.7%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
16.4%
10.3%
Win probability
0.78
Expected goals
0-1
3.2%
1-2
3%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
7.4%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.3%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+18%
-6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Kickers Offenbach
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 May. 1974 |
BYM
1 - 0
OFC
85%
10%
5%
|
78 | 90 | 12 | 0 |
| 04 May. 1974 |
MON
5 - 1
OFC
81%
12%
7%
|
79 | 88 | 9 | -1 |
| 27 Apr. 1974 |
OFC
3 - 0
F95
53%
23%
25%
|
78 | 81 | 3 | +1 |
| 20 Apr. 1974 |
HSV
0 - 0
OFC
56%
22%
23%
|
78 | 81 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 1974 |
HSV
1 - 0
OFC
56%
20%
24%
|
79 | 80 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Fortuna Köln
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 May. 1974 |
KÖL
3 - 0
HSV
33%
26%
42%
|
63 | 80 | 17 | 0 |
| 04 May. 1974 |
RTV
2 - 0
KÖL
70%
18%
12%
|
63 | 73 | 10 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 1974 |
KÖL
1 - 0
STU
31%
25%
44%
|
63 | 82 | 19 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 1974 |
KAI
2 - 1
KÖL
75%
16%
10%
|
63 | 79 | 16 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 1974 |
KÖL
3 - 0
MSV
43%
27%
30%
|
61 | 74 | 13 | +2 |