Kickers Offenbach vs Nürnberg analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
18.8%
Win probability
0.85
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.8%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.1%
2-0
2.9%
3-1
1.4%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.5%
1-0
6.8%
2-1
4.8%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
12.9%
24.1%
Draw
0-0
8%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.1%
57.1%
Win probability
1.68
Expected goals
0-1
13.4%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25.5%
0-2
11.3%
1-3
5.4%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
17.7%
0-3
6.3%
1-4
2.2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
8.9%
0-4
2.7%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.5%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Kickers Offenbach
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Nov. 2002 |
OFC
1 - 1
ERF
43%
26%
31%
|
55 | 58 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2002 |
OFC
1 - 1
VFR
46%
26%
28%
|
55 | 55 | 0 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2002 |
WEH
1 - 1
OFC
48%
25%
27%
|
55 | 53 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2002 |
OFC
1 - 0
BAY
47%
25%
28%
|
55 | 54 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2002 |
KAI
0 - 0
OFC
34%
27%
39%
|
55 | 45 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Nürnberg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Nov. 2002 |
FCN
2 - 1
MON
38%
25%
37%
|
76 | 80 | 4 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 2002 |
S04
1 - 1
FCN
66%
20%
13%
|
75 | 88 | 13 | +1 |
| 20 Oct. 2002 |
FCN
1 - 2
STU
30%
26%
45%
|
76 | 85 | 9 | -1 |
| 05 Oct. 2002 |
HER
2 - 1
FCN
67%
20%
14%
|
76 | 87 | 11 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2002 |
FCN
1 - 0
KAI
28%
23%
49%
|
76 | 83 | 7 | 0 |