Kickers Offenbach vs Barockstadt analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
61.3%
Win probability
1.98
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.8%
4-0
3.4%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.9%
3-0
6.9%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.8%
2-0
10.5%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.8%
1-0
10.6%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
21.2%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.2%
17.5%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
0-1
5.1%
1-2
4.8%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.6%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
4.3%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+10%
-14%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
18
1º
6º
4º
9
8º
14º
14º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
13º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
4º
|
16 | 64 |
1º
|
22.5% | |
|
3º
|
17 | 62 |
2º
|
11.5% | |
|
5º
|
16 | 61 |
3º
|
10.5% | |
|
|
1º
|
18 | 60 |
4º
|
14.5% | |
|
6º
|
15 | 60 |
5º
|
14.5% | |
|
2º
|
18 | 60 |
6º
|
12.5% | |
|
9º
|
12 | 51 |
7º
|
8.5% | |
|
10º
|
12 | 51 |
8º
|
8.5% | |
|
8º
|
13 | 48 |
9º
|
13.5% | |
|
7º
|
14 | 47 |
10º
|
9.5% | |
|
14º
|
9 | 42 |
11º
|
15% | |
|
11º
|
10 | 40 |
12º
|
8.5% | |
|
18º
|
4 | 37 |
13º
|
11% | |
|
|
13º
|
9 | 36 |
14º
|
14.5% | |
|
12º
|
10 | 34 |
15º
|
11% | |
|
15º
|
7 | 31 |
16º
|
13.5% | |
|
17º
|
6 | 30 |
17º
|
23% | |
|
16º
|
6 | 27 |
18º
|
36.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
12.5% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
87.5% | 74.5% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 25.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Kickers Offenbach
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Aug. 2024 |
OFC
0 - 0
HOF
41%
26%
34%
|
55 | 58 | 3 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2024 |
BAH
1 - 5
OFC
33%
26%
41%
|
54 | 48 | 6 | +1 |
| 19 Aug. 2024 |
OFC
2 - 1
MAG
9%
14%
77%
|
53 | 76 | 23 | +1 |
| 10 Aug. 2024 |
FRE
0 - 0
OFC
48%
24%
28%
|
53 | 53 | 0 | 0 |
| 03 Aug. 2024 |
OFC
5 - 0
FSV
47%
25%
29%
|
51 | 53 | 2 | +2 |
Matches
Barockstadt
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Aug. 2024 |
SGB
0 - 1
STE
33%
25%
42%
|
49 | 52 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2024 |
GOP
1 - 1
SGB
32%
25%
43%
|
49 | 44 | 5 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 2024 |
SGB
2 - 1
AST
41%
25%
34%
|
49 | 48 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Aug. 2024 |
GIE
2 - 2
SGB
47%
25%
28%
|
49 | 50 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Jul. 2024 |
SGB
1 - 1
VIL
53%
23%
23%
|
49 | 45 | 4 | 0 |