Kickers Luzern vs FC Sursee analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
45.9%
Win probability
1.77
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.7%
3-0
3.8%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.9%
2-0
6.5%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.8%
1-0
7.3%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.2%
23.1%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
6.5%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.1%
31%
Win probability
1.42
Expected goals
0-1
5.9%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
17%
0-2
4.2%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
8.9%
0-3
2%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.5%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-66%
+33%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
36
2º
13º
9º
32
8º
13º
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
12º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
67 | 70 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
54 | 55 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
45 | 45 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
44 | 44 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
41 | 41 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
39 | 40 |
6º
|
0% | |
|
6º
|
40 | 40 |
7º
|
0% | |
|
8º
|
39 | 39 |
8º
|
91% | |
|
|
9º
|
36 | 36 |
9º
|
74% | |
|
10º
|
36 | 36 |
10º
|
74% | |
|
11º
|
33 | 33 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
|
12º
|
32 | 32 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
31 | 31 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
27 | 27 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
10 | 10 |
15º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Kickers Luzern
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Jun. 2022 |
GOL
1 - 2
LUZ
42%
22%
36%
|
24 | 19 | 5 | 0 |
| 04 Jun. 2022 |
LUZ
4 - 1
ASC
32%
24%
45%
|
22 | 26 | 4 | +2 |
| 28 May. 2022 |
LUZ
3 - 0
PER
38%
24%
38%
|
21 | 23 | 2 | +1 |
| 21 May. 2022 |
HER
0 - 2
LUZ
57%
21%
22%
|
20 | 23 | 3 | +1 |
| 14 May. 2022 |
LUZ
1 - 2
EMM
23%
21%
56%
|
21 | 29 | 8 | -1 |
Matches
FC Sursee
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Jun. 2022 |
MUT
3 - 3
FCS
33%
22%
45%
|
24 | 20 | 4 | 0 |
| 04 Jun. 2022 |
FCS
1 - 1
FCG
52%
21%
27%
|
24 | 23 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 May. 2022 |
EIN
1 - 2
FCS
14%
19%
68%
|
24 | 13 | 11 | 0 |
| 21 May. 2022 |
FCS
2 - 2
ZOF
38%
23%
40%
|
24 | 28 | 4 | 0 |
| 14 May. 2022 |
FCM
1 - 2
FCS
74%
15%
11%
|
23 | 34 | 11 | +1 |