Kickers Luzern vs Gambarogno - Contone analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
50.5%
Win probability
1.96
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.6%
3-0
4.3%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
8.3%
2-0
6.6%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.3%
1-0
6.8%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
4.3%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.5%
21.9%
Draw
0-0
3.4%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
6.6%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
21.9%
27.6%
Win probability
1.41
Expected goals
0-1
4.8%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
15.4%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
7.8%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.1%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-60%
+31%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
36
2º
13º
9º
39
5º
11º
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
7º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
67 | 70 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
54 | 55 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
45 | 45 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
44 | 44 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
41 | 41 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
|
7º
|
39 | 40 |
6º
|
0% | |
|
6º
|
40 | 40 |
7º
|
0% | |
|
8º
|
39 | 39 |
8º
|
91% | |
|
|
9º
|
36 | 36 |
9º
|
74% | |
|
10º
|
36 | 36 |
10º
|
74% | |
|
11º
|
33 | 33 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
32 | 32 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
31 | 31 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
27 | 27 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
10 | 10 |
15º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Kickers Luzern
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Oct. 2022 |
ASC
1 - 5
LUZ
52%
22%
25%
|
23 | 24 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2022 |
ZUG
3 - 0
LUZ
70%
17%
13%
|
24 | 33 | 9 | -1 |
| 17 Sep. 2022 |
LUZ
0 - 3
SCE
48%
22%
30%
|
25 | 24 | 1 | -1 |
| 10 Sep. 2022 |
CHA
2 - 0
LUZ
7%
13%
80%
|
27 | 10 | 17 | -2 |
| 03 Sep. 2022 |
LUZ
1 - 5
PER
53%
22%
25%
|
28 | 25 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Gambarogno - Contone
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Oct. 2022 |
FCC
1 - 2
IBA
51%
23%
26%
|
25 | 22 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2022 |
ESC
0 - 3
FCC
18%
20%
62%
|
24 | 15 | 9 | +1 |
| 24 Sep. 2022 |
FCC
0 - 0
MEN
32%
24%
44%
|
24 | 28 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2022 |
FCC
1 - 1
FCC
73%
16%
11%
|
24 | 32 | 8 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2022 |
FCC
0 - 2
HER
40%
23%
37%
|
24 | 24 | 0 | 0 |