Kickers Luzern vs Collina d'Oro analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
24.9%
Win probability
1.33
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
0.1%
+4
0.8%
3-0
1.4%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.6%
2-0
3.1%
3-1
2.8%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
7%
1-0
4.6%
2-1
6.2%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
14.4%
21.4%
Draw
0-0
3.5%
1-1
9.4%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
21.4%
53.6%
Win probability
2.03
Expected goals
0-1
7.1%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
4.3%
3-4
1%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
22%
0-2
7.2%
1-3
6.4%
2-4
2.2%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0%
-2
16.2%
0-3
4.8%
1-4
3.3%
2-5
0.9%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
9.1%
0-4
2.5%
1-5
1.3%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
4.1%
0-5
1%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.5%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-62%
+12%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
15º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
15
13º
16º
16º
64
1º
5º
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
1º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
64 | 68 |
1º
|
99.5% | |
|
2º
|
52 | 56 |
2º
|
65% | |
|
3º
|
51 | 55 |
3º
|
65.5% | |
|
4º
|
46 | 50 |
4º
|
72.5% | |
|
5º
|
44 | 48 |
5º
|
43.5% | |
|
6º
|
42 | 46 |
6º
|
36.5% | |
|
7º
|
42 | 46 |
7º
|
35.5% | |
|
8º
|
37 | 41 |
8º
|
45.5% | |
|
9º
|
36 | 39 |
9º
|
21% | |
|
10º
|
36 | 39 |
10º
|
19.5% | |
|
11º
|
35 | 38 |
11º
|
32% | |
|
12º
|
32 | 35 |
12º
|
52% | |
|
16º
|
0 | 30 |
13º
|
11% | |
|
13º
|
27 | 30 |
14º
|
48% | |
|
14º
|
22 | 25 |
15º
|
65.5% | |
|
|
15º
|
15 | 16 |
16º
|
84% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 99.5% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 0.5% |
|
Relegation
|
100% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Kickers Luzern
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Mar. 2024 |
LUZ
1 - 2
BUO
29%
22%
49%
|
23 | 28 | 5 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2024 |
LUZ
0 - 4
RSZ
33%
24%
43%
|
24 | 31 | 7 | -1 |
| 18 Nov. 2023 |
LUZ
2 - 0
ZUG
20%
22%
58%
|
21 | 33 | 12 | +3 |
| 11 Nov. 2023 |
ASC
2 - 0
LUZ
42%
23%
34%
|
22 | 20 | 2 | -1 |
| 04 Nov. 2023 |
LUZ
1 - 2
CHA
54%
21%
26%
|
22 | 20 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Collina d'Oro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Mar. 2024 |
FCC
1 - 2
RSZ
51%
22%
27%
|
34 | 32 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2024 |
ZUG
0 - 1
FCC
44%
22%
34%
|
33 | 31 | 2 | +1 |
| 16 Mar. 2024 |
FCC
3 - 2
ASC
66%
18%
16%
|
32 | 22 | 10 | +1 |
| 18 Nov. 2023 |
FCC
0 - 1
CHA
65%
18%
17%
|
33 | 22 | 11 | -1 |
| 11 Nov. 2023 |
BRU
0 - 1
FCC
29%
23%
48%
|
32 | 26 | 6 | +1 |