KFUM Oslo vs Molde FK analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
21.7%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.1%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.6%
2-0
3.3%
3-1
1.8%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.5%
1-0
6.6%
2-1
5.6%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
14.1%
23.9%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.9%
54.4%
Win probability
1.71
Expected goals
0-1
11.5%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.4%
0-2
9.9%
1-3
5.6%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.1%
-2
16.7%
0-3
5.6%
1-4
2.4%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
8.5%
0-4
2.4%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.3%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+12%
+4%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
29
5º
13º
7º
40
1º
5º
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
3º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
50 | 63 |
1º
|
88% | |
|
2º
|
43 | 56 |
2º
|
39.5% | |
|
|
3º
|
40 | 54 |
3º
|
27.5% | |
|
4º
|
40 | 53 |
4º
|
37.5% | |
|
5º
|
37 | 48 |
5º
|
44.5% | |
|
6º
|
37 | 45 |
6º
|
44% | |
|
|
7º
|
29 | 40 |
7º
|
28.5% | |
|
10º
|
27 | 37 |
8º
|
19% | |
|
8º
|
28 | 36 |
9º
|
14% | |
|
9º
|
28 | 36 |
10º
|
18.5% | |
|
12º
|
26 | 36 |
11º
|
13% | |
|
11º
|
26 | 34 |
12º
|
13% | |
|
16º
|
21 | 31 |
13º
|
16% | |
|
14º
|
22 | 30 |
14º
|
14.5% | |
|
13º
|
23 | 30 |
15º
|
26.5% | |
|
15º
|
22 | 29 |
16º
|
31.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase
|
0% | 6% |
|
Champions League qualifying phase (2nd r
|
0% | 37% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
0% | 48% |
|
Mid-table
|
97.5% | 9% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
1% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
1.5% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
KFUM Oslo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Sep. 2024 |
BBS
2 - 0
KFU
64%
20%
16%
|
74 | 84 | 10 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2024 |
VKG
1 - 0
KFU
66%
19%
15%
|
74 | 83 | 9 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 2024 |
KFU
2 - 0
LSK
31%
26%
44%
|
73 | 78 | 5 | +1 |
| 18 Aug. 2024 |
KFU
0 - 1
TRO
35%
27%
38%
|
73 | 78 | 5 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 2024 |
KFU
1 - 0
RBK
27%
24%
49%
|
73 | 79 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Molde FK
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Sep. 2024 |
KRI
0 - 4
MFK
23%
24%
53%
|
84 | 73 | 11 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2024 |
MFK
6 - 1
FFK
64%
20%
16%
|
84 | 77 | 7 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2024 |
RBK
2 - 1
MFK
33%
25%
43%
|
84 | 80 | 4 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 2024 |
ELF
0 - 1
MFK
38%
24%
38%
|
85 | 81 | 4 | -1 |
| 25 Aug. 2024 |
MFK
3 - 0
HAM
68%
18%
14%
|
84 | 74 | 10 | +1 |