Wezel vs Wellen analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
68.6%
Win probability
2.46
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.3%
5-0
2.3%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.4%
4-0
4.6%
5-1
2.3%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
7.5%
3-0
7.6%
4-1
4.8%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
13.7%
2-0
9.2%
3-1
7.8%
4-2
2.5%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.9%
1-0
7.5%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
4%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22%
17.3%
Draw
0-0
3.1%
1-1
7.8%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
17.3%
14%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
0-1
3.2%
1-2
4%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
9.2%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.5%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-29%
+16%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
7
2º
6º
6º
6
5º
14º
14º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
7º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
10 | 60 |
1º
|
37% | |
|
3º
|
8 | 55 |
2º
|
16% | |
|
2º
|
10 | 55 |
3º
|
19% | |
|
11º
|
4 | 54 |
4º
|
16% | |
|
5º
|
7 | 51 |
5º
|
12% | |
|
|
4º
|
7 | 45 |
6º
|
11.5% | |
|
14º
|
2 | 41 |
7º
|
13% | |
|
6º
|
7 | 40 |
8º
|
9% | |
|
9º
|
5 | 40 |
9º
|
10% | |
|
10º
|
5 | 40 |
10º
|
10.5% | |
|
8º
|
5 | 39 |
11º
|
10.5% | |
|
13º
|
3 | 36 |
12º
|
10.5% | |
|
12º
|
3 | 33 |
13º
|
15% | |
|
|
7º
|
6 | 32 |
14º
|
19% | |
|
16º
|
1 | 31 |
15º
|
21% | |
|
15º
|
2 | 12 |
16º
|
85.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
3% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
28% | 5% |
|
Mid-table
|
64% | 58% |
|
Relegation
|
5% | 37% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Wezel
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Sep. 2024 |
BED
1 - 4
WEZ
46%
23%
31%
|
45 | 47 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2024 |
KFC
2 - 1
WEZ
61%
19%
19%
|
45 | 57 | 12 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 2024 |
WEZ
1 - 1
KEW
77%
14%
9%
|
46 | 32 | 14 | -1 |
| 31 Jul. 2024 |
WEZ
0 - 1
HEI
35%
22%
43%
|
46 | 50 | 4 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2024 |
LYR
1 - 1
WEZ
63%
21%
16%
|
45 | 56 | 11 | +1 |
Matches
Wellen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Aug. 2024 |
WEL
1 - 0
KVV
32%
24%
44%
|
37 | 48 | 11 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 2024 |
NIL
6 - 1
WEL
41%
23%
37%
|
38 | 37 | 1 | -1 |
| 12 May. 2024 |
ROD
4 - 1
WEL
43%
25%
32%
|
40 | 42 | 2 | -2 |
| 09 May. 2024 |
WEL
2 - 5
ESP
42%
25%
33%
|
42 | 44 | 2 | -2 |
| 05 May. 2024 |
WEL
2 - 2
VWH
32%
24%
44%
|
42 | 46 | 4 | 0 |