Wezel vs St. Truiden 2 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
89.9%
Win probability
3.76
Expected goals
10-0
0.2%
+10
0.2%
9-0
0.5%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.6%
8-0
1.2%
9-1
0.3%
10-2
<0%
+8
1.5%
7-0
2.5%
8-1
0.8%
9-2
0.1%
+7
3.4%
6-0
4.6%
7-1
1.7%
8-2
0.3%
9-3
<0%
+6
6.6%
5-0
7.3%
6-1
3.2%
7-2
0.6%
8-3
0.1%
+5
11.2%
4-0
9.8%
5-1
5%
6-2
1.1%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
16%
3-0
10.4%
4-1
6.7%
5-2
1.7%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
19.1%
2-0
8.3%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.1%
1-0
4.4%
2-1
5.7%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
13.1%
6.8%
Draw
0-0
1.2%
1-1
3%
2-2
2%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
6.8%
3.1%
Win probability
0.69
Expected goals
0-1
0.8%
1-2
1%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
2.4%
0-2
0.3%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
0.6%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
2-5
0%
-3
0.1%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-29%
+68%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
7
2º
6º
6º
2
13º
16º
16º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
15º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
10 | 60 |
1º
|
37% | |
|
3º
|
8 | 55 |
2º
|
16% | |
|
2º
|
10 | 55 |
3º
|
19% | |
|
11º
|
4 | 54 |
4º
|
16% | |
|
5º
|
7 | 51 |
5º
|
12% | |
|
|
4º
|
7 | 45 |
6º
|
11.5% | |
|
14º
|
2 | 41 |
7º
|
13% | |
|
6º
|
7 | 40 |
8º
|
9% | |
|
9º
|
5 | 40 |
9º
|
10% | |
|
10º
|
5 | 40 |
10º
|
10.5% | |
|
8º
|
5 | 39 |
11º
|
10.5% | |
|
13º
|
3 | 36 |
12º
|
10.5% | |
|
12º
|
3 | 33 |
13º
|
15% | |
|
7º
|
6 | 32 |
14º
|
19% | |
|
16º
|
1 | 31 |
15º
|
21% | |
|
|
15º
|
2 | 12 |
16º
|
85.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
3% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
28% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
64% | 2% |
|
Relegation
|
5% | 98% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Wezel
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Sep. 2024 |
WEZ
2 - 2
ESP
61%
20%
19%
|
47 | 44 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2024 |
HAD
1 - 0
WEZ
36%
24%
41%
|
47 | 45 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2024 |
WEZ
3 - 1
WEL
69%
17%
14%
|
47 | 39 | 8 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2024 |
BED
1 - 4
WEZ
46%
23%
31%
|
45 | 47 | 2 | +2 |
| 17 Aug. 2024 |
KFC
2 - 1
WEZ
61%
19%
19%
|
45 | 57 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
St. Truiden 2
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Sep. 2024 |
STT
2 - 3
RAC
13%
19%
68%
|
8 | 53 | 45 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2024 |
KVV
1 - 1
STT
78%
14%
8%
|
7 | 48 | 41 | +1 |
| 08 Sep. 2024 |
STT
0 - 0
RUP
12%
19%
69%
|
6 | 52 | 46 | +1 |
| 30 Aug. 2024 |
LIL
2 - 0
STT
88%
8%
4%
|
7 | 47 | 40 | -1 |