KFC Uerdingen 05 vs Schwarz-Weiss Essen analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57.8%
Win probability
2.07
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.8%
4-0
3%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.7%
3-0
5.7%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
10.2%
2-0
8.3%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.5%
1-0
8%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
4%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.7%
21%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21%
21.2%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
0-1
4.6%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
13%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
5.7%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-7%
+37%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
61
2º
13º
2º
54
6º
17º
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
5º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
70 | 73 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
|
2º
|
61 | 64 |
2º
|
57.5% | |
|
3º
|
60 | 63 |
3º
|
57.5% | |
|
4º
|
55 | 58 |
4º
|
57.5% | |
|
6º
|
52 | 55 |
5º
|
22.5% | |
|
|
5º
|
54 | 54 |
6º
|
48.5% | |
|
15º
|
34 | 53 |
7º
|
4.5% | |
|
7º
|
52 | 53 |
8º
|
23.5% | |
|
8º
|
44 | 45 |
9º
|
71.5% | |
|
9º
|
42 | 43 |
10º
|
38% | |
|
10º
|
41 | 42 |
11º
|
36% | |
|
11º
|
41 | 42 |
12º
|
55.5% | |
|
12º
|
37 | 38 |
13º
|
27% | |
|
13º
|
37 | 38 |
14º
|
21% | |
|
14º
|
35 | 36 |
15º
|
35% | |
|
16º
|
34 | 35 |
16º
|
52.5% | |
|
17º
|
33 | 34 |
17º
|
81.5% | |
|
18º
|
29 | 29 |
18º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Mid-table
|
61% | 100% |
|
Promotion
|
39% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
KFC Uerdingen 05
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Oct. 2023 |
DJK
0 - 2
KFC
11%
16%
74%
|
41 | 15 | 26 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2023 |
KFC
4 - 3
MEE
70%
17%
13%
|
41 | 32 | 9 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2023 |
SON
1 - 0
KFC
19%
20%
61%
|
42 | 29 | 13 | -1 |
| 07 Oct. 2023 |
KFC
6 - 0
NET
63%
20%
17%
|
41 | 35 | 6 | +1 |
| 30 Sep. 2023 |
HIL
2 - 0
KFC
51%
24%
25%
|
41 | 44 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Schwarz-Weiss Essen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Oct. 2023 |
FCB
1 - 4
SWE
12%
16%
72%
|
37 | 18 | 19 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2023 |
SWE
2 - 6
SCH
46%
24%
30%
|
39 | 38 | 1 | -2 |
| 08 Oct. 2023 |
GRA
1 - 0
SWE
54%
23%
24%
|
39 | 43 | 4 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2023 |
SWE
2 - 1
MFC
72%
16%
12%
|
38 | 26 | 12 | +1 |
| 23 Sep. 2023 |
SFB
0 - 0
SWE
54%
22%
24%
|
38 | 41 | 3 | 0 |