KFC Uerdingen 05 vs Mainz 05 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57.9%
Win probability
2.39
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
0.1%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.4%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
5.6%
3-0
4.8%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
1.5%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
10.8%
2-0
6%
3-1
7%
4-2
3.1%
5-3
0.7%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
17%
1-0
5%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
5.2%
4-3
1.5%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.9%
19.2%
Draw
0-0
2.1%
1-1
7.4%
2-2
6.5%
3-3
2.5%
4-4
0.6%
5-5
0.1%
0
19.2%
22.9%
Win probability
1.47
Expected goals
0-1
3.1%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
12.9%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
6.4%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0.1%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
KFC Uerdingen 05
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Oct. 1976 |
ARB
0 - 0
KFC
54%
25%
21%
|
67 | 66 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 1976 |
KFC
2 - 1
AAA
72%
18%
10%
|
67 | 58 | 9 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 1976 |
SWE
1 - 0
KFC
53%
25%
22%
|
67 | 65 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 1976 |
KFC
3 - 4
OSN
49%
25%
26%
|
68 | 69 | 1 | -1 |
| 11 Sep. 1976 |
BSC
1 - 2
KFC
17%
25%
57%
|
68 | 42 | 26 | 0 |
Matches
Mainz 05
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Sep. 1976 |
M05
3 - 0
AND
85%
9%
6%
|
63 | 25 | 38 | 0 |
| 07 Aug. 1976 |
AND
1 - 1
M05
39%
20%
42%
|
63 | 24 | 39 | 0 |
| 13 Jun. 1976 |
HOM
7 - 1
M05
61%
21%
19%
|
64 | 73 | 9 | -1 |
| 05 Jun. 1976 |
M05
4 - 2
RVO
58%
22%
20%
|
63 | 69 | 6 | +1 |
| 28 May. 1976 |
SVS
5 - 2
M05
48%
24%
29%
|
64 | 62 | 2 | -1 |