KFC Uerdingen 05 vs Hamborn analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
65.7%
Win probability
2.26
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.7%
4-0
4.2%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.4%
3-0
7.4%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.6%
2-0
9.8%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.6%
1-0
8.7%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23%
18.9%
Draw
0-0
3.8%
1-1
8.7%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
18.9%
15.4%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
0-1
3.9%
1-2
4.3%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
10.2%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.9%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
+1%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
61
2º
13º
2º
29
2º
18º
18º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
18º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
70 | 73 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
|
2º
|
61 | 64 |
2º
|
57.5% | |
|
3º
|
60 | 63 |
3º
|
57.5% | |
|
4º
|
55 | 58 |
4º
|
57.5% | |
|
6º
|
52 | 55 |
5º
|
22.5% | |
|
5º
|
54 | 54 |
6º
|
48.5% | |
|
15º
|
34 | 53 |
7º
|
4.5% | |
|
7º
|
52 | 53 |
8º
|
23.5% | |
|
8º
|
44 | 45 |
9º
|
71.5% | |
|
9º
|
42 | 43 |
10º
|
38% | |
|
10º
|
41 | 42 |
11º
|
36% | |
|
11º
|
41 | 42 |
12º
|
55.5% | |
|
12º
|
37 | 38 |
13º
|
27% | |
|
13º
|
37 | 38 |
14º
|
21% | |
|
14º
|
35 | 36 |
15º
|
35% | |
|
16º
|
34 | 35 |
16º
|
52.5% | |
|
17º
|
33 | 34 |
17º
|
81.5% | |
|
|
18º
|
29 | 29 |
18º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Mid-table
|
61% | 0% |
|
Promotion
|
39% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
KFC Uerdingen 05
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Aug. 2023 |
KFC
1 - 2
SFB
59%
21%
21%
|
43 | 37 | 6 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 2023 |
VFB
2 - 2
KFC
25%
25%
50%
|
43 | 36 | 7 | 0 |
| 06 Aug. 2023 |
KFC
5 - 2
BOR
23%
22%
56%
|
42 | 50 | 8 | +1 |
| 02 Aug. 2023 |
KFC
1 - 1
SCH
79%
13%
8%
|
42 | 25 | 17 | 0 |
| 14 Jul. 2023 |
KFC
2 - 1
JUT
21%
21%
58%
|
41 | 51 | 10 | +1 |
Matches
Hamborn
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Aug. 2023 |
HAM
0 - 0
VFB
40%
23%
38%
|
34 | 37 | 3 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 2023 |
FCB
2 - 1
HAM
6%
11%
84%
|
35 | 12 | 23 | -1 |
| 30 Jul. 2023 |
HAM
3 - 2
BWM
63%
19%
19%
|
34 | 21 | 13 | +1 |
| 08 Jul. 2023 |
HAM
0 - 4
MSV
7%
14%
80%
|
34 | 59 | 25 | 0 |
| 02 Jun. 2023 |
MEE
6 - 3
HAM
34%
21%
45%
|
36 | 29 | 7 | -2 |