KFC Lille vs Racing Mechelen analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
26.7%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.6%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.5%
2-0
4%
3-1
2.6%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
7.3%
1-0
6.9%
2-1
6.7%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.1%
24.3%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
24.3%
49%
Win probability
1.66
Expected goals
0-1
9.9%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
23%
0-2
8.2%
1-3
5.3%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
14.9%
0-3
4.5%
1-4
2.2%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
7.2%
0-4
1.9%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.7%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-9%
-11%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
13º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
3
3º
14º
12º
10
1º
4º
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
2º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
10 | 60 |
1º
|
37% | |
|
3º
|
8 | 55 |
2º
|
16% | |
|
|
2º
|
10 | 55 |
3º
|
19% | |
|
11º
|
4 | 54 |
4º
|
16% | |
|
5º
|
7 | 51 |
5º
|
12% | |
|
4º
|
7 | 45 |
6º
|
11.5% | |
|
14º
|
2 | 41 |
7º
|
13% | |
|
6º
|
7 | 40 |
8º
|
9% | |
|
9º
|
5 | 40 |
9º
|
10% | |
|
10º
|
5 | 40 |
10º
|
10.5% | |
|
8º
|
5 | 39 |
11º
|
10.5% | |
|
|
13º
|
3 | 36 |
12º
|
10.5% | |
|
12º
|
3 | 33 |
13º
|
15% | |
|
7º
|
6 | 32 |
14º
|
19% | |
|
16º
|
1 | 31 |
15º
|
21% | |
|
15º
|
2 | 12 |
16º
|
85.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0.5% | 16.5% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
7.5% | 61% |
|
Mid-table
|
69% | 22% |
|
Relegation
|
23% | 0.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
KFC Lille
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Sep. 2024 |
LIL
0 - 2
HAD
45%
24%
32%
|
46 | 47 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2024 |
DIE
1 - 0
LIL
57%
21%
23%
|
46 | 49 | 3 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2024 |
HOU
4 - 0
LIL
59%
22%
20%
|
47 | 54 | 7 | -1 |
| 30 Aug. 2024 |
LIL
2 - 0
STT
88%
8%
4%
|
47 | 7 | 40 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2024 |
LIL
1 - 2
MER
32%
24%
44%
|
47 | 53 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Racing Mechelen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Sep. 2024 |
STT
2 - 3
RAC
13%
19%
68%
|
53 | 8 | 45 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2024 |
RAC
3 - 0
BER
61%
22%
17%
|
52 | 46 | 6 | +1 |
| 07 Sep. 2024 |
RAC
3 - 3
EEN
43%
25%
33%
|
51 | 51 | 0 | +1 |
| 31 Aug. 2024 |
TON
1 - 2
RAC
43%
25%
32%
|
50 | 51 | 1 | +1 |
| 24 Aug. 2024 |
SPA
3 - 2
RAC
34%
23%
44%
|
51 | 46 | 5 | -1 |