KFC Lille vs Berchem Sport analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
44.2%
Win probability
1.59
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.2%
3-0
3.7%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.1%
2-0
7.1%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.3%
1-0
8.9%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.8%
24.6%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.6%
31.2%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
0-1
7.3%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
17.7%
0-2
4.7%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.9%
0-3
2%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.3%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
-14%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
15º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
40
2º
16º
15º
46
4º
14º
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
11º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
68 | 69 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
64 | 67 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
60 | 60 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
60 | 60 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
55 | 55 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
55 | 55 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
54 | 54 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
48 | 48 |
8º
|
74% | |
|
9º
|
47 | 47 |
9º
|
74% | |
|
10º
|
46 | 46 |
10º
|
74% | |
|
|
11º
|
46 | 46 |
11º
|
46.5% | |
|
12º
|
45 | 46 |
12º
|
37% | |
|
13º
|
43 | 43 |
13º
|
61.5% | |
|
14º
|
42 | 42 |
14º
|
61.5% | |
|
|
15º
|
40 | 40 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
28 | 28 |
16º
|
100% | |
|
17º
|
25 | 25 |
17º
|
100% | |
|
18º
|
22 | 25 |
18º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
KFC Lille
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Oct. 2023 |
TEM
2 - 1
LIL
49%
23%
29%
|
41 | 43 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2023 |
LIL
1 - 0
TON
21%
22%
57%
|
40 | 52 | 12 | +1 |
| 30 Sep. 2023 |
LIL
1 - 3
RAC
32%
25%
43%
|
41 | 46 | 5 | -1 |
| 24 Sep. 2023 |
SPO
1 - 1
LIL
65%
19%
16%
|
41 | 49 | 8 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2023 |
LIL
0 - 3
RCL
55%
23%
22%
|
42 | 38 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Berchem Sport
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Oct. 2023 |
BER
1 - 1
SPO
19%
22%
59%
|
41 | 51 | 10 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2023 |
RAC
3 - 0
BER
62%
21%
18%
|
42 | 47 | 5 | -1 |
| 30 Sep. 2023 |
BER
2 - 2
WEZ
27%
24%
49%
|
42 | 48 | 6 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2023 |
MEC
0 - 2
BER
54%
23%
23%
|
40 | 43 | 3 | +2 |
| 16 Sep. 2023 |
BER
3 - 0
RUP
64%
19%
18%
|
39 | 32 | 7 | +1 |