KFC Houtvenne vs Wellen analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
70.8%
Win probability
2.24
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2.3%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.1%
4-0
5.2%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.2%
3-0
9.3%
4-1
4%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14%
2-0
12.4%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.2%
1-0
11.1%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.7%
17.9%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
8.5%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.9%
11.3%
Win probability
0.77
Expected goals
0-1
3.8%
1-2
3.3%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
8.1%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.5%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
+16%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
10
1º
7º
1º
6
5º
14º
14º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
7º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
10 | 60 |
1º
|
37% | |
|
3º
|
8 | 55 |
2º
|
16% | |
|
2º
|
10 | 55 |
3º
|
19% | |
|
11º
|
4 | 54 |
4º
|
16% | |
|
5º
|
7 | 51 |
5º
|
12% | |
|
4º
|
7 | 45 |
6º
|
11.5% | |
|
14º
|
2 | 41 |
7º
|
13% | |
|
6º
|
7 | 40 |
8º
|
9% | |
|
9º
|
5 | 40 |
9º
|
10% | |
|
10º
|
5 | 40 |
10º
|
10.5% | |
|
8º
|
5 | 39 |
11º
|
10.5% | |
|
13º
|
3 | 36 |
12º
|
10.5% | |
|
12º
|
3 | 33 |
13º
|
15% | |
|
|
7º
|
6 | 32 |
14º
|
19% | |
|
16º
|
1 | 31 |
15º
|
21% | |
|
15º
|
2 | 12 |
16º
|
85.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
37% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
46.5% | 5% |
|
Mid-table
|
16.5% | 58% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 37% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
KFC Houtvenne
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Sep. 2024 |
ESP
1 - 1
HOU
20%
23%
57%
|
55 | 43 | 12 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2024 |
KSK
3 - 2
HOU
71%
17%
12%
|
55 | 68 | 13 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2024 |
HOU
4 - 0
LIL
59%
22%
20%
|
54 | 47 | 7 | +1 |
| 01 Sep. 2024 |
EEN
2 - 3
HOU
47%
23%
30%
|
54 | 52 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2024 |
HOU
3 - 3
SPO
49%
23%
28%
|
54 | 51 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Wellen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Sep. 2024 |
WEL
4 - 0
BED
29%
23%
48%
|
38 | 44 | 6 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2024 |
WEZ
3 - 1
WEL
69%
17%
14%
|
39 | 47 | 8 | -1 |
| 31 Aug. 2024 |
WEL
1 - 0
KVV
32%
24%
44%
|
37 | 48 | 11 | +2 |
| 11 Aug. 2024 |
NIL
6 - 1
WEL
41%
23%
37%
|
38 | 37 | 1 | -1 |
| 12 May. 2024 |
ROD
4 - 1
WEL
43%
25%
32%
|
40 | 42 | 2 | -2 |