KFC Houtvenne vs Diegem Sport analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57.2%
Win probability
1.91
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.5%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.2%
3-0
6%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.7%
2-0
9.4%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.5%
1-0
9.8%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.7%
22.1%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
22.1%
20.7%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
0-1
5.4%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
13.1%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.4%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
+19%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
10
1º
7º
1º
7
4º
15º
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
5º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
10 | 60 |
1º
|
37% | |
|
3º
|
8 | 55 |
2º
|
16% | |
|
2º
|
10 | 55 |
3º
|
19% | |
|
11º
|
4 | 54 |
4º
|
16% | |
|
|
5º
|
7 | 51 |
5º
|
12% | |
|
4º
|
7 | 45 |
6º
|
11.5% | |
|
14º
|
2 | 41 |
7º
|
13% | |
|
6º
|
7 | 40 |
8º
|
9% | |
|
9º
|
5 | 40 |
9º
|
10% | |
|
10º
|
5 | 40 |
10º
|
10.5% | |
|
8º
|
5 | 39 |
11º
|
10.5% | |
|
13º
|
3 | 36 |
12º
|
10.5% | |
|
12º
|
3 | 33 |
13º
|
15% | |
|
7º
|
6 | 32 |
14º
|
19% | |
|
16º
|
1 | 31 |
15º
|
21% | |
|
15º
|
2 | 12 |
16º
|
85.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
37% | 6% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
46.5% | 50.5% |
|
Mid-table
|
16.5% | 41.5% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 2% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
KFC Houtvenne
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Sep. 2024 |
HOU
4 - 1
WEL
71%
18%
11%
|
55 | 42 | 13 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2024 |
ESP
1 - 1
HOU
20%
23%
57%
|
55 | 43 | 12 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2024 |
KSK
3 - 2
HOU
71%
17%
12%
|
55 | 68 | 13 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2024 |
HOU
4 - 0
LIL
59%
22%
20%
|
54 | 47 | 7 | +1 |
| 01 Sep. 2024 |
EEN
2 - 3
HOU
47%
23%
30%
|
54 | 52 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Diegem Sport
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Sep. 2024 |
MEC
2 - 2
DIE
32%
24%
44%
|
50 | 46 | 4 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2024 |
DIE
1 - 0
LIL
57%
21%
23%
|
49 | 46 | 3 | +1 |
| 08 Sep. 2024 |
DIE
4 - 1
BED
55%
21%
24%
|
48 | 45 | 3 | +1 |
| 01 Sep. 2024 |
RUP
4 - 1
DIE
53%
23%
25%
|
49 | 51 | 2 | -1 |
| 24 Aug. 2024 |
DIE
1 - 3
GEN
21%
21%
59%
|
50 | 63 | 13 | -1 |