Valbona vs Kukësi analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
37.2%
Win probability
1.43
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.5%
3-0
2.8%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.5%
2-0
5.8%
3-1
4%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
10.9%
1-0
8%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.8%
24.9%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.9%
37.9%
Win probability
1.45
Expected goals
0-1
8.1%
1-2
8.4%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
20%
0-2
5.9%
1-3
4.1%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
11.2%
0-3
2.8%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.7%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
-33%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
4
7º
12º
7º
3
4º
11º
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
11º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
12 | 40 |
1º
|
28% | |
|
2º
|
9 | 40 |
2º
|
16.5% | |
|
5º
|
6 | 37 |
3º
|
13.5% | |
|
|
11º
|
3 | 32 |
4º
|
14% | |
|
10º
|
3 | 31 |
5º
|
12% | |
|
7º
|
4 | 29 |
6º
|
14% | |
|
|
8º
|
4 | 29 |
7º
|
13% | |
|
4º
|
7 | 29 |
8º
|
14% | |
|
9º
|
4 | 29 |
9º
|
11.5% | |
|
3º
|
8 | 25 |
10º
|
13.5% | |
|
6º
|
5 | 24 |
11º
|
11% | |
|
12º
|
0 | 22 |
12º
|
23.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
5% | 16% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
37% | 47.5% |
|
Mid-table
|
21% | 14.5% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
20% | 8.5% |
|
Relegation
|
17% | 13.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Valbona
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Sep. 2024 |
VOR
2 - 1
KFV
53%
21%
26%
|
45 | 45 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2024 |
KFV
1 - 0
ERZ
41%
25%
35%
|
44 | 46 | 2 | +1 |
| 31 Aug. 2024 |
BUR
0 - 0
KFV
32%
26%
42%
|
44 | 42 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2024 |
KFV
0 - 2
BES
48%
24%
28%
|
45 | 44 | 1 | -1 |
| 10 May. 2024 |
KFV
0 - 1
POG
38%
25%
38%
|
45 | 49 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Kukësi
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Sep. 2024 |
KUK
1 - 2
FLA
44%
27%
29%
|
49 | 49 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2024 |
KUK
1 - 2
APO
55%
24%
21%
|
50 | 46 | 4 | -1 |
| 31 Aug. 2024 |
VOR
2 - 0
KUK
36%
24%
40%
|
50 | 45 | 5 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2024 |
KUK
1 - 0
ERZ
47%
26%
28%
|
50 | 47 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 May. 2024 |
KUK
0 - 1
EGN
22%
25%
53%
|
50 | 62 | 12 | 0 |