Valbona vs Kastrioti Krujë analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
39.8%
Win probability
1.47
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.7%
3-0
3.1%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5%
2-0
6.3%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.8%
1-0
8.7%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.7%
25.1%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
25.1%
35.1%
Win probability
1.36
Expected goals
0-1
8.1%
1-2
8%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
19.3%
0-2
5.5%
1-3
3.7%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
10.2%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-40%
-9%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
13
8º
12º
11º
30
4º
11º
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
6º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
51 | 54 |
1º
|
95% | |
|
2º
|
49 | 52 |
2º
|
95% | |
|
3º
|
40 | 43 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
34 | 35 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
30 | 31 |
5º
|
49% | |
|
|
6º
|
30 | 31 |
6º
|
44% | |
|
7º
|
27 | 28 |
7º
|
40% | |
|
8º
|
27 | 28 |
8º
|
40% | |
|
9º
|
20 | 21 |
9º
|
76% | |
|
10º
|
19 | 20 |
10º
|
76% | |
|
|
11º
|
13 | 14 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
8 | 8 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 92% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 8% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
100% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Valbona
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Oct. 2024 |
POG
1 - 0
KFV
56%
21%
22%
|
44 | 50 | 6 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2024 |
KFV
0 - 1
KOR
51%
25%
24%
|
45 | 45 | 0 | -1 |
| 16 Oct. 2024 |
KFV
1 - 0
BES
42%
24%
35%
|
44 | 43 | 1 | +1 |
| 05 Oct. 2024 |
KFV
1 - 1
APO
45%
25%
30%
|
44 | 46 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2024 |
FLA
2 - 0
KFV
54%
23%
23%
|
45 | 52 | 7 | -1 |
Matches
Kastrioti Krujë
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Oct. 2024 |
KRU
0 - 1
FLA
32%
26%
42%
|
48 | 55 | 7 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2024 |
KUK
0 - 1
KRU
53%
24%
24%
|
47 | 50 | 3 | +1 |
| 16 Oct. 2024 |
KRU
3 - 1
BUT
66%
20%
14%
|
46 | 36 | 10 | +1 |
| 06 Oct. 2024 |
KRU
0 - 2
VOR
38%
24%
39%
|
47 | 49 | 2 | -1 |
| 29 Sep. 2024 |
ERZ
2 - 3
KRU
44%
25%
31%
|
46 | 45 | 1 | +1 |