Valbona vs Erzeni Shijak analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
40.9%
Win probability
1.55
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.9%
3-0
3.2%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.4%
2-0
6.3%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.2%
1-0
8.1%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.7%
24.5%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.5%
34.6%
Win probability
1.41
Expected goals
0-1
7.3%
1-2
8%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
18.8%
0-2
5.2%
1-3
3.7%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
10.1%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-40%
-53%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
13
8º
12º
11º
8
10º
12º
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
12º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
51 | 54 |
1º
|
95% | |
|
2º
|
49 | 52 |
2º
|
95% | |
|
3º
|
40 | 43 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
34 | 35 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
30 | 31 |
5º
|
49% | |
|
6º
|
30 | 31 |
6º
|
44% | |
|
7º
|
27 | 28 |
7º
|
40% | |
|
8º
|
27 | 28 |
8º
|
40% | |
|
9º
|
20 | 21 |
9º
|
76% | |
|
10º
|
19 | 20 |
10º
|
76% | |
|
|
11º
|
13 | 14 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
|
12º
|
8 | 8 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Valbona
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Aug. 2024 |
BUR
0 - 0
KFV
32%
26%
42%
|
45 | 43 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2024 |
KFV
0 - 2
BES
48%
24%
28%
|
46 | 45 | 1 | -1 |
| 10 May. 2024 |
KFV
0 - 1
POG
38%
25%
38%
|
47 | 50 | 3 | -1 |
| 04 May. 2024 |
KFV
5 - 1
MUR
83%
11%
6%
|
47 | 19 | 28 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2024 |
NAF
0 - 5
KFV
11%
16%
74%
|
47 | 21 | 26 | 0 |
Matches
Erzeni Shijak
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Aug. 2024 |
ERZ
0 - 2
FLA
50%
24%
26%
|
48 | 48 | 0 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2024 |
KUK
1 - 0
ERZ
47%
26%
28%
|
49 | 51 | 2 | -1 |
| 11 May. 2024 |
PAR
4 - 0
ERZ
72%
19%
9%
|
49 | 67 | 18 | 0 |
| 08 May. 2024 |
ERZ
0 - 3
TEU
29%
28%
43%
|
50 | 61 | 11 | -1 |
| 04 May. 2024 |
ERZ
3 - 3
KUK
38%
27%
35%
|
50 | 53 | 3 | 0 |