Dukagjini vs Ferizaj analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
53.1%
Win probability
1.6
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.9%
3-0
5.4%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.8%
2-0
10.2%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.3%
1-0
12.8%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.9%
25%
Draw
0-0
8%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
25%
21.9%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
0-1
7.4%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.5%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.5%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-13%
-3%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
51
4º
10º
5º
39
7º
10º
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
8º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
73 | 73 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
70 | 70 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
54 | 54 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
51 | 51 |
4º
|
0% | |
|
|
5º
|
51 | 51 |
5º
|
0% | |
|
6º
|
46 | 46 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
43 | 43 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
|
8º
|
39 | 39 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
37 | 37 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
23 | 23 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase (1st r
|
0% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
100% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Dukagjini
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Sep. 2022 |
TRE
3 - 0
KFD
45%
27%
28%
|
67 | 66 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2022 |
KFD
1 - 2
DSK
44%
28%
29%
|
68 | 69 | 1 | -1 |
| 10 Sep. 2022 |
UEM
1 - 1
KFD
52%
26%
22%
|
67 | 71 | 4 | +1 |
| 04 Sep. 2022 |
KFD
0 - 1
GJI
41%
29%
31%
|
68 | 72 | 4 | -1 |
| 28 Aug. 2022 |
KFB
1 - 0
KFD
58%
23%
18%
|
68 | 73 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Ferizaj
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Sep. 2022 |
FER
0 - 3
KFB
24%
27%
49%
|
59 | 72 | 13 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2022 |
TRE
1 - 1
FER
57%
23%
20%
|
59 | 66 | 7 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2022 |
FER
2 - 1
LLA
24%
25%
51%
|
58 | 69 | 11 | +1 |
| 04 Sep. 2022 |
DSK
0 - 0
FER
62%
22%
16%
|
57 | 70 | 13 | +1 |
| 28 Aug. 2022 |
FER
1 - 1
FCD
22%
26%
52%
|
57 | 72 | 15 | 0 |