Conference League qualifiers Playoffs Final
Global 3-1
Ballkani vs Shkupi analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
65.6%
Win probability
2.13
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.4%
4-0
4.1%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6%
3-0
7.8%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.3%
2-0
11%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.9%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.9%
19.6%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
9.3%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.6%
14.8%
Win probability
0.9
Expected goals
0-1
4.3%
1-2
4.2%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10.1%
0-2
2%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.5%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ballkani
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Aug. 2022 |
KFB
1 - 0
DSK
54%
24%
22%
|
73 | 71 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2022 |
SHK
1 - 2
KFB
33%
26%
41%
|
74 | 68 | 6 | -1 |
| 11 Aug. 2022 |
KLA
2 - 1
KFB
43%
24%
33%
|
75 | 71 | 4 | -1 |
| 04 Aug. 2022 |
KFB
3 - 2
KLA
56%
21%
23%
|
75 | 71 | 4 | 0 |
| 26 Jul. 2022 |
KFB
6 - 0
FIO
66%
19%
15%
|
74 | 66 | 8 | +1 |
Matches
Shkupi
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Aug. 2022 |
SHK
1 - 2
KFB
33%
26%
41%
|
68 | 74 | 6 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 2022 |
SHK
2 - 1
MAK
43%
27%
31%
|
68 | 66 | 2 | 0 |
| 09 Aug. 2022 |
SHK
1 - 2
SHR
28%
26%
46%
|
68 | 78 | 10 | 0 |
| 04 Aug. 2022 |
SHR
3 - 1
SHK
63%
22%
15%
|
69 | 78 | 9 | -1 |
| 26 Jul. 2022 |
SHK
0 - 1
DZG
14%
23%
63%
|
69 | 85 | 16 | 0 |