Kettering Town vs Gateshead analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
19.9%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.9%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.5%
2-0
2.8%
3-1
1.8%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
5.1%
1-0
5.7%
2-1
5.3%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
12.9%
22.4%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
5%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.4%
57.7%
Win probability
1.87
Expected goals
0-1
10.6%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
24.1%
0-2
9.9%
1-3
6.2%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
17.7%
0-3
6.2%
1-4
2.9%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
9.7%
0-4
2.9%
1-5
1.1%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
4.2%
0-5
1.1%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.5%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-15%
-15%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Kettering Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Jan. 2012 |
WRE
4 - 1
KET
70%
20%
10%
|
40 | 62 | 22 | 0 |
| 07 Jan. 2012 |
AFC
3 - 1
KET
57%
23%
20%
|
41 | 48 | 7 | -1 |
| 01 Jan. 2012 |
KET
0 - 5
LUT
23%
27%
50%
|
42 | 60 | 18 | -1 |
| 26 Dec. 2011 |
LUT
5 - 0
KET
77%
15%
8%
|
43 | 60 | 17 | -1 |
| 17 Dec. 2011 |
KET
1 - 1
BAT
43%
25%
33%
|
43 | 45 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Gateshead
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Jan. 2012 |
GAT
3 - 3
LIN
67%
20%
13%
|
54 | 44 | 10 | 0 |
| 17 Jan. 2012 |
BRA
1 - 1
GAT
39%
24%
38%
|
54 | 53 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 2012 |
GAT
2 - 2
BRA
49%
23%
28%
|
54 | 52 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 Jan. 2012 |
GAT
2 - 1
KID
37%
25%
37%
|
53 | 57 | 4 | +1 |
| 07 Jan. 2012 |
GAT
2 - 0
STO
69%
19%
13%
|
53 | 43 | 10 | 0 |