Kettering Town vs Curzon Ashton analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
62.2%
Win probability
2.03
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2%
4-0
3.6%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.2%
3-0
7%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.2%
2-0
10.4%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19%
1-0
10.2%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.9%
20.7%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.7%
17%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
0-1
4.8%
1-2
4.7%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.3%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
4.2%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
+14%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Kettering Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Jan. 2020 |
KET
0 - 2
ALT
36%
24%
40%
|
43 | 49 | 6 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 2020 |
YOR
1 - 0
KET
60%
22%
18%
|
44 | 50 | 6 | -1 |
| 11 Jan. 2020 |
SPE
1 - 2
KET
56%
22%
22%
|
43 | 45 | 2 | +1 |
| 04 Jan. 2020 |
KET
1 - 0
FAR
34%
23%
43%
|
42 | 46 | 4 | +1 |
| 01 Jan. 2020 |
BRA
1 - 1
KET
70%
19%
11%
|
41 | 52 | 11 | +1 |
Matches
Curzon Ashton
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Jan. 2020 |
HER
1 - 1
CUR
43%
24%
33%
|
38 | 36 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 2020 |
CUR
4 - 0
FAR
19%
22%
59%
|
35 | 46 | 11 | +3 |
| 11 Jan. 2020 |
BLY
2 - 1
CUR
66%
18%
16%
|
35 | 38 | 3 | 0 |
| 07 Jan. 2020 |
BOS
0 - 0
CUR
74%
17%
9%
|
35 | 45 | 10 | 0 |
| 04 Jan. 2020 |
CUR
0 - 2
ALF
49%
22%
29%
|
36 | 36 | 0 | -1 |